The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.15%. The major market indices finished mixed this week.It may be a good time to consider getting exposure with a high-quality copper miner such as Ivanhoe Mines or a broad-based commodities fund that gives you access to copper exploration and production. According to S&P Global, most of the copper that’s produced every year comes from assets that were discovered in the 1990s. Copper exploration budgets have not managed to generate a meaningful increase in major new discoveries. Take a look at the chart above, courtesy of S&P Global. Copper’s Supply-Demand ImbalanceĪt the same time that copper demand is growing due to the energy transition, the global supply pipeline is thinning due to shrinking exploration budgets and a dramatic slowdown in the number of new deposits. was a distant second at $141 billion, though the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), signed into law in August 2022, has yet to be fully deployed. Not only is this a new annual record amount, but, for the first time ever, it matches what we invested in fossil fuels, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance (NEF).Ĭhina was the top investor, responsible for $546 billion, or nearly half of the total amount. Last year, a little more than $1 trillion was plowed into new technologies such as renewable energy, energy storage, carbon capture and storage, electrified transport and more. What’s more, investment in the transition is accelerating. As we seek to electrify everything, from power generation to transportation, copper is the one material that’s used every step of the way. The red metal, we believe, will be one of the greatest beneficiaries of the global low-carbon energy transition that’s taking place. If I had to select another metal to watch this year (and beyond), it would be copper. $1 Trillion Investment in the Energy Transition, on Par with Fossil Fuels We prefer companies that have demonstrated strong momentum in revenue, free cash flow and high-growth margins on a per-share basis. That remains to be seen, but I always recommend that investors diversify, with 5% of their portfolio in bullion, gold jewelry and gold-backed ETFs.Īnother 5% can be allocated to high-quality gold mining stocks, mutual funds and ETFs. The WGC suggests that demand for ETFs that hold physical gold will “take the baton” from bars and coins this year. Even when the gold price began to climb in November, investors didn’t seem to respond as they have in past rallies. Investors withdrew some 110 tons from physical gold ETFs, the second straight year of declines, though at a slower pace compared to 2021. Where I see the opportunity is with gold-backed ETFs and gold mining stocks, both of which didn’t see the same level of demand as the bullion market last year. Investors to Shift from Physical Bullion to Gold-Backed ETFs in 2023? Western investors gobbled up 427 tons (approximately 15 million ounces), the most since 2011. and Europe hit a new annual record last year in response to stubbornly high inflation and the war in Ukraine. Meanwhile, retail demand for bars and coins in the U.S. China began accumulating again in 2022 for the first time in three years, continuing its goal of diversifying away from the dollar. The big headline in the World Gold Council’s (WGC) 2022 review is that total global demand expanded 18% year-over-year, reaching its highest level since 2011.Ĭentral banks were responsible for much of the growth, adding a massive 1,136 metric tons, the largest annual amount since 1967. Gold was one of the very few bright spots in a dismal 2022, ending the year essentially flat, and I expect its performance to remain strong in the year ahead. I also maintain my bullishness for gold and gold mining stocks in 2023. The yellow metal rose 5.72% in January, compared to 8.39% in the same month eight years ago. I don’t believe that this takes away from the fact that gold posted its best start to the year since 2015. jobs report, indicating that the current rate hike cycle may be far from over. The price of gold stopped just short of hitting $1,960 an ounce on Thursday, its highest level since April 2022, before plunging below $1,900 on Friday following a stronger-than-expected U.S.
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